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Red46
108626.8
90019.9
99998.9
Blue21
4359.7
33599.6
99989.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65190501001504621

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1086
Unranked
26.81.7
27.325.6
Auto6.4
Teleop13.9
End6.7
red by 17.1
435
Unranked
9.70.3
5.95.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.1
End2.0
Second
900
Unranked
19.91.7
24.422.8
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End7.7
red by 10.3
3359
Unranked
9.60.3
7.57.1
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End3.7
Third
9999
Unranked
8.92.8
11.48.6
Auto4.9
Teleop3.3
End0.1
blue by 0.2
9998
Unranked
9.10.6
8.88.2
Auto0.4
Teleop4.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsMissed6%Hangar oddsMissed