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Red62
264225.5
4359.7
456117.8
Blue93
99989.1
40138.5
83642.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38940501502006293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2642
Unranked
25.51.1
22.423.5
Auto6.6
Teleop10.8
End8.2
blue by 16.7
836
#5
42.20.9
38.639.5
Auto10.7
Teleop22.6
End8.9
Second
4561
Unranked
17.81.1
14.115.1
Auto3.8
Teleop11.8
End2.3
blue by 20.7
401
#1
38.50.9
32.133.1
Auto10.4
Teleop19.5
End8.8
Third
435
Unranked
9.71.1
5.66.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.1
End2.0
red by 0.6
9998
Unranked
9.11.6
8.29.7
Auto0.4
Teleop4.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsEarned85%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed56%Hangar oddsEarned