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Red133
236337.8
97721.8
38433.7
Blue41
190824.5
61944.8
4359.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1013405015013341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
Unranked
37.82.6
35.137.8
Auto12.4
Teleop23.4
End2.0
red by 13.2
1908
Unranked
24.50.2
24.724.5
Auto6.5
Teleop13.8
End4.2
Second
384
#3
33.72.6
31.033.7
Auto9.1
Teleop20.0
End4.7
red by 23.9
435
Unranked
9.70.2
9.99.7
Auto2.8
Teleop5.1
End2.0
Third
977
#7
21.82.6
19.221.8
Auto4.9
Teleop8.0
End8.9
red by 17.0
6194
Unranked
4.80.2
4.94.8
Auto2.3
Teleop1.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
91%Cargo oddsEarned43%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsEarned11%Hangar oddsMissed