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Red104
36031.0
204642.9
80518.3
Blue38
297615.0
378621.9
83036.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9439020608012014016010438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.90.3
42.642.9
Auto11.8
Teleop20.9
End10.1
red by 21.0
21.90.2
22.121.9
Auto3.9
Teleop14.0
End4.0
Second
360
#3
31.00.3
30.731.0
Auto12.3
Teleop15.2
End3.5
red by 16.0
15.00.2
15.215.0
Auto6.9
Teleop3.8
End4.4
Third
8051
#14
8.30.3
8.08.3
Auto2.3
Teleop5.8
End0.2
red by 1.8
8303
#20
6.40.2
6.66.4
Auto1.9
Teleop3.5
End1.0