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Red46
635016.7
413116.8
20977.7
Blue36
491812.9
94815.2
12587.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4437102030506070804636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.80.1
16.616.7
Auto3.4
Teleop11.1
End2.3
red by 1.6
948
#9
15.20.0
15.215.2
Auto5.4
Teleop6.7
End3.2
Second
16.70.1
16.516.6
Auto2.3
Teleop5.2
End9.2
red by 3.8
4918
#11
12.90.0
12.912.9
Auto3.8
Teleop3.9
End5.2
Third
2097
#30
7.70.1
7.57.6
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End2.2
red by 0.3
1258
#24
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.1
Teleop2.1
End3.1