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Red64
297615.0
378621.9
83036.4
Blue16
9499.3
56839.7
59378.4
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49270204060806416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.90.5
21.822.3
Auto3.9
Teleop14.0
End4.0
red by 12.2
5683
#12
9.70.3
9.99.6
Auto3.6
Teleop6.8
End-0.7
Second
15.00.5
14.915.4
Auto6.9
Teleop3.8
End4.4
red by 5.7
949
#16
9.30.3
9.69.3
Auto4.4
Teleop3.0
End1.9
Third
8303
#20
6.40.5
6.36.8
Auto1.9
Teleop3.5
End1.0
blue by 2.0
5937
#27
8.40.3
8.78.4
Auto4.8
Teleop3.3
End0.4