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Red4
59378.4
29077.6
29063.9
Blue13
35887.3
491812.9
83864.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19300104050607080413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5937
#27
8.41.7
6.54.9
Auto4.8
Teleop3.3
End0.4
blue by 4.5
4918
#11
12.91.5
10.79.2
Auto3.8
Teleop3.9
End5.2
Second
2907
#17
7.61.7
7.55.9
Auto1.7
Teleop3.9
End2.1
red by 0.3
3588
#13
7.31.5
8.46.9
Auto2.6
Teleop4.3
End0.4
Third
2906
#29
3.91.7
5.13.4
Auto0.2
Teleop3.1
End0.7
blue by 0.5
8386
#21
4.41.5
7.35.8
Auto0.6
Teleop3.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed