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Red40
29274.2
413116.8
83028.3
Blue19
32199.8
20977.7
29077.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222120253035404019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.81.1
13.814.9
Auto3.4
Teleop11.1
End2.3
red by 7.0
3219
#10
9.80.1
6.76.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.7
End1.4
Second
8302
#19
8.31.6
3.65.2
Auto1.3
Teleop3.4
End3.6
red by 0.6
2097
#30
7.70.1
7.67.5
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End2.2
Third
2927
#22
4.21.6
2.94.5
Auto0.8
Teleop2.6
End0.8
blue by 3.4
2907
#17
7.60.1
5.95.7
Auto1.7
Teleop3.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsEarned7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
6%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsMissed