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Red40
445012.0
491522.7
83864.4
Blue23
83036.4
413116.8
35887.3
65%Model gave it35%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403002060804023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.2
20.420.6
Auto5.9
Teleop15.0
End1.8
red by 5.9
16.80.4
14.914.4
Auto3.4
Teleop11.1
End2.3
Second
4450
#23
12.00.2
10.610.8
Auto4.8
Teleop3.7
End3.5
red by 4.7
3588
#13
7.30.7
6.96.2
Auto2.6
Teleop4.3
End0.4
Third
8386
#21
4.40.3
5.45.8
Auto0.6
Teleop3.7
End0.1
blue by 2.0
8303
#20
6.40.7
7.77.0
Auto1.9
Teleop3.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed5%Hangar oddsMissed