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Red21
83864.4
20977.7
413116.8
Blue18
52959.7
88967.3
12587.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292401020405060702118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.80.4
14.414.1
Auto3.4
Teleop11.1
End2.3
red by 7.1
5295
#18
9.70.3
10.510.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End3.1
Second
2097
#30
7.70.5
6.35.8
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End2.2
red by 0.3
1258
#24
7.30.4
5.55.0
Auto2.1
Teleop2.1
End3.1
Third
8386
#21
4.40.5
5.85.3
Auto0.6
Teleop3.7
End0.1
blue by 2.8
8896
#28
7.30.4
7.16.7
Auto1.7
Teleop4.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
6%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed