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Red56
32199.8
48828.8
52959.7
Blue53
29063.9
204642.9
387610.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49612040801001205653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#5
28.80.6
28.729.3
Auto6.5
Teleop8.0
End14.3
blue by 14.0
42.90.2
41.241.0
Auto11.8
Teleop20.9
End10.1
Second
3219
#10
9.80.6
9.29.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.7
End1.4
blue by 0.6
3876
#26
10.40.2
10.610.4
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End5.1
Third
5295
#18
9.70.6
9.410.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End3.1
red by 5.8
2906
#29
3.90.2
4.13.9
Auto0.2
Teleop3.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed35%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
59%Hangar oddsEarned28%Hangar oddsMissed