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Red49
83029.1
339310.2
446918.4
Blue33
491812.9
83037.4
41319.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264001020506070804933

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4469
#11
18.41.2
13.014.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.5
End3.5
red by 5.5
4918
#29
12.90.4
12.211.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End5.2
Second
3393
#17
10.21.2
5.46.7
Auto4.5
Teleop4.7
End1.1
red by 0.3
4131
#27
9.90.4
16.015.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.2
End0.4
Third
8302
#13
9.11.2
8.09.2
Auto3.9
Teleop2.0
End3.2
red by 1.7
8303
#25
7.40.4
7.36.9
Auto2.8
Teleop3.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsEarned33%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed