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Red47
255732.5
29062.6
457911.2
Blue23
35885.9
491812.9
307018.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343420304050604723

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.51.0
16.117.1
Auto9.9
Teleop13.9
End8.7
red by 14.0
18.50.7
15.014.4
Auto7.0
Teleop7.3
End4.2
Second
4579
#19
11.21.0
11.112.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End1.5
blue by 1.7
4918
#29
12.90.7
11.811.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End5.2
Third
2906
#28
2.61.0
4.55.6
Auto1.6
Teleop2.7
End-1.7
blue by 3.3
3588
#23
5.90.7
5.95.3
Auto1.7
Teleop1.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed