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Red91
291061.4
83029.1
198322.6
Blue17
339310.2
593715.1
35885.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1048501509117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.40.4
55.756.1
Auto16.8
Teleop32.8
End11.8
red by 46.4
15.10.2
7.67.4
Auto4.2
Teleop6.5
End4.4
Second
22.60.4
21.321.7
Auto6.0
Teleop10.7
End5.9
red by 12.4
3393
#17
10.20.2
6.76.5
Auto4.5
Teleop4.7
End1.1
Third
8302
#13
9.10.4
8.28.6
Auto3.9
Teleop2.0
End3.2
red by 3.2
3588
#23
5.90.2
5.35.1
Auto1.7
Teleop1.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
86%Cargo oddsEarned10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsEarned7%Hangar oddsMissed