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Red50
35885.9
321834.2
131821.7
Blue53
198322.6
255732.5
29077.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6539020801001205053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.20.5
27.827.3
Auto8.1
Teleop11.9
End14.2
red by 1.7
32.50.9
12.213.1
Auto9.9
Teleop13.9
End8.7
Second
21.70.5
22.321.8
Auto5.5
Teleop10.6
End5.6
blue by 0.9
22.61.0
19.920.9
Auto6.0
Teleop10.7
End5.9
Third
3588
#23
5.90.5
7.36.8
Auto1.7
Teleop1.3
End2.9
blue by 1.8
2907
#15
7.71.0
7.68.6
Auto3.3
Teleop2.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsEarned20%Hangar oddsEarned