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Red63
307018.5
255732.5
83029.1
Blue85
297628.9
446918.4
593715.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4442102030506070806385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.9
17.418.4
Auto9.9
Teleop13.9
End8.7
red by 3.5
28.92.8
17.720.4
Auto9.1
Teleop13.3
End6.5
Second
18.50.9
14.815.7
Auto7.0
Teleop7.3
End4.2
red by 0.1
4469
#11
18.42.8
14.417.1
Auto5.4
Teleop9.5
End3.5
Third
8302
#13
9.10.9
8.69.5
Auto3.9
Teleop2.0
End3.2
blue by 6.0
15.12.8
7.410.2
Auto4.2
Teleop6.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsEarned30%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed