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Red16
41319.9
35885.9
29077.7
Blue68
129421.7
321834.2
457911.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256604060801001201668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#27
9.90.9
15.915.1
Auto4.3
Teleop5.2
End0.4
blue by 24.2
34.20.7
27.628.4
Auto8.1
Teleop11.9
End14.2
Second
2907
#15
7.70.9
7.87.0
Auto3.3
Teleop2.7
End1.6
blue by 14.0
1294
#10
21.70.7
17.718.4
Auto5.9
Teleop9.4
End6.4
Third
3588
#23
5.90.9
5.14.2
Auto1.7
Teleop1.3
End2.9
blue by 5.3
4579
#19
11.20.7
11.612.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed54%Hangar oddsEarned