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Red48
29062.6
35885.9
297628.9
Blue16
83866.0
40606.8
41319.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32261020405060704816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.91.0
20.421.4
Auto9.1
Teleop13.3
End6.5
red by 19.0
4131
#27
9.90.9
15.114.2
Auto4.3
Teleop5.2
End0.4
Second
3588
#23
5.91.0
4.25.2
Auto1.7
Teleop1.3
End2.9
blue by 1.0
4060
#20
6.80.9
5.74.8
Auto1.2
Teleop3.2
End2.5
Third
2906
#28
2.61.0
4.85.8
Auto1.6
Teleop2.7
End-1.7
blue by 3.5
8386
#22
6.00.9
4.53.6
Auto1.9
Teleop3.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed