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Red71
29077.7
131821.7
321834.2
Blue89
204650.6
307018.5
593715.1
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions598120401001201407189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.20.6
28.429.0
Auto8.1
Teleop11.9
End14.2
blue by 16.4
50.61.1
47.348.3
Auto14.3
Teleop24.3
End12.0
Second
21.70.6
22.723.3
Auto5.5
Teleop10.6
End5.6
red by 3.2
18.51.1
15.716.8
Auto7.0
Teleop7.3
End4.2
Third
2907
#15
7.70.6
7.07.6
Auto3.3
Teleop2.7
End1.6
blue by 7.4
15.11.1
10.211.2
Auto4.2
Teleop6.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed69%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsEarned36%Hangar oddsEarned