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Red36
131821.7
83029.1
125811.0
Blue22
593715.1
32686.0
83037.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions482104060801003622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.4
23.322.9
Auto5.5
Teleop10.6
End5.6
red by 6.7
15.10.1
11.211.1
Auto4.2
Teleop6.5
End4.4
Second
1258
#18
11.00.4
9.18.7
Auto2.8
Teleop1.3
End6.9
red by 3.6
8303
#25
7.40.1
5.35.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.2
End1.4
Third
8302
#13
9.10.4
9.59.1
Auto3.9
Teleop2.0
End3.2
red by 3.0
3268
#16
6.00.1
6.76.6
Auto3.2
Teleop2.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed6%Hangar oddsMissed