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Red8
41319.9
382624.2
59412.7
Blue37
40606.8
209711.4
491812.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4924020406080837

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3826
#14
24.22.3
22.319.9
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End5.2
red by 11.3
4918
#29
12.90.7
11.011.7
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End5.2
Second
4131
#27
9.92.3
14.812.4
Auto4.3
Teleop5.2
End0.4
blue by 1.4
2097
#24
11.40.7
8.89.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.3
End2.4
Third
5941
#21
2.72.3
5.93.5
Auto2.8
Teleop-0.2
End0.0
blue by 4.2
4060
#20
6.80.7
6.37.0
Auto1.2
Teleop3.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
52%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed