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Red41
32686.0
129421.7
35885.9
Blue34
307018.5
83037.4
339310.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363402060801004134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1294
#10
21.70.5
21.021.5
Auto5.9
Teleop9.4
End6.4
red by 3.2
18.50.1
15.816.0
Auto7.0
Teleop7.3
End4.2
Second
3268
#16
6.00.5
6.67.1
Auto3.2
Teleop2.4
End0.5
blue by 4.2
3393
#17
10.20.1
8.99.0
Auto4.5
Teleop4.7
End1.1
Third
3588
#23
5.90.5
6.16.6
Auto1.7
Teleop1.3
End2.9
blue by 1.5
8303
#25
7.40.1
7.17.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed33%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed6%Hangar oddsMissed