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Red60
32686.0
291061.4
41319.9
Blue66
209711.4
321834.2
83037.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9248204060801001201406066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.41.4
61.960.5
Auto16.8
Teleop32.8
End11.8
red by 27.3
34.21.0
32.333.3
Auto8.1
Teleop11.9
End14.2
Second
4131
#27
9.91.4
12.411.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.2
End0.4
blue by 1.4
2097
#24
11.41.0
10.911.9
Auto3.7
Teleop5.3
End2.4
Third
3268
#16
6.01.4
6.75.3
Auto3.2
Teleop2.4
End0.5
blue by 1.3
8303
#25
7.41.0
7.38.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
93%Cargo oddsEarned17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsEarned