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Red18
41319.9
88964.8
131821.7
Blue105
382624.2
593715.1
255732.5
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4168020608010012018105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.71.6
23.622.0
Auto5.5
Teleop10.6
End5.6
blue by 10.8
32.53.0
26.929.9
Auto9.9
Teleop13.9
End8.7
Second
4131
#27
9.91.6
11.710.1
Auto4.3
Teleop5.2
End0.4
blue by 14.3
3826
#14
24.23.0
21.124.0
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End5.2
Third
8896
#31
4.81.6
6.44.8
Auto1.2
Teleop3.2
End0.4
blue by 10.3
15.13.0
12.315.2
Auto4.2
Teleop6.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
36%Cargo oddsMissed35%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed33%Hangar oddsEarned