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Red6
59412.7
29077.7
40606.8
Blue55
83037.4
457911.2
198322.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224406080100655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2907
#15
7.71.2
8.67.5
Auto3.3
Teleop2.7
End1.6
blue by 15.0
22.60.3
20.921.1
Auto6.0
Teleop10.7
End5.9
Second
4060
#20
6.81.2
8.77.6
Auto1.2
Teleop3.2
End2.5
blue by 4.3
4579
#19
11.20.3
10.811.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End1.5
Third
5941
#21
2.71.2
6.15.0
Auto2.8
Teleop-0.2
End0.0
blue by 4.7
8303
#25
7.40.3
7.07.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed