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Red45
451218.7
198316.3
297626.1
Blue50
56837.3
255722.2
252222.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions797102040601001201401604550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2976
#11
26.11.9
31.930.0
Auto11.2
Teleop13.0
End1.9
red by 3.3
22.81.4
26.024.6
Auto7.7
Teleop6.2
End8.9
Second
18.71.9
20.418.5
Auto4.6
Teleop11.3
End2.9
blue by 3.4
2557
#15
22.21.4
32.030.6
Auto6.0
Teleop10.5
End5.6
Third
1983
#25
16.31.9
20.818.9
Auto4.4
Teleop7.5
End4.3
red by 9.0
5683
#10
7.31.4
9.37.9
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
81%Cargo oddsMissed87%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsMissed36%Hangar oddsMissed