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Red22
9487.7
189916.5
49185.8
Blue62
408929.5
418018.2
204635.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371090501502002262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1899
#21
16.51.7
24.222.5
Auto6.9
Teleop5.4
End4.1
blue by 19.5
35.92.1
45.243.2
Auto9.5
Teleop17.0
End9.4
Second
948
#27
7.71.7
12.711.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End1.5
blue by 21.8
29.52.1
29.627.5
Auto8.6
Teleop11.5
End9.4
Third
4918
#26
5.81.7
6.95.2
Auto3.2
Teleop0.7
End1.9
blue by 12.4
18.22.1
18.216.1
Auto6.4
Teleop7.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
42%Cargo oddsMissed81%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed49%Hangar oddsEarned