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Red46
189916.5
204635.9
129417.4
Blue70
255722.2
297626.1
378618.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93740501504670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.92.9
43.240.3
Auto9.5
Teleop17.0
End9.4
red by 9.9
2976
#11
26.10.4
29.228.9
Auto11.2
Teleop13.0
End1.9
Second
1294
#14
17.42.9
19.616.7
Auto5.1
Teleop5.3
End7.0
blue by 4.8
2557
#15
22.20.4
28.728.3
Auto6.0
Teleop10.5
End5.6
Third
1899
#21
16.52.9
22.519.6
Auto6.9
Teleop5.4
End4.1
blue by 2.0
3786
#16
18.50.4
13.713.3
Auto7.8
Teleop9.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
75%Cargo oddsMissed79%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsMissed48%Hangar oddsMissed