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Red42
9487.7
82489.7
558811.8
Blue86
291053.7
59412.2
408929.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions211020501504286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5588
#19
11.80.8
9.19.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.3
End2.6
blue by 41.9
53.70.2
59.258.9
Auto16.2
Teleop26.3
End11.1
Second
8248
#13
9.70.8
10.010.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End0.5
blue by 19.8
29.50.2
27.527.3
Auto8.6
Teleop11.5
End9.4
Third
948
#27
7.70.8
11.011.8
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End1.5
red by 5.6
5941
#18
2.20.2
-1.0-1.2
Auto1.7
Teleop-1.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsMissed92%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
6%Hangar oddsMissed55%Hangar oddsEarned