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Red33
9494.5
59412.2
635016.1
Blue59
321821.5
49231.6
297626.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9960501503359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6350
#28
16.10.6
15.916.5
Auto2.6
Teleop4.8
End8.8
blue by 15.5
492
#4
31.61.3
31.730.4
Auto10.2
Teleop13.5
End7.9
Second
949
#30
4.50.6
3.44.0
Auto3.5
Teleop0.5
End0.5
blue by 21.6
2976
#11
26.11.3
27.626.3
Auto11.2
Teleop13.0
End1.9
Third
5941
#18
2.20.6
0.31.0
Auto1.7
Teleop-1.9
End2.3
blue by 19.4
3218
#12
21.51.3
19.518.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.7
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
3%Cargo oddsMissed74%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed82%Hangar oddsMissed