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Red33
56837.3
59379.0
32194.3
Blue108
418018.2
204635.9
321821.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6872040608010012014016033108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5937
#17
9.00.3
7.57.9
Auto3.5
Teleop3.5
End2.0
blue by 27.0
35.91.4
38.239.5
Auto9.5
Teleop17.0
End9.4
Second
5683
#10
7.30.3
7.17.4
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End0.4
blue by 14.2
3218
#12
21.51.4
18.119.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.7
End11.1
Third
3219
#29
4.30.3
1.51.8
Auto1.9
Teleop1.1
End1.3
blue by 13.9
18.21.4
15.316.7
Auto6.4
Teleop7.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed36%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsMissed76%Hangar oddsEarned