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Red59
639013.6
255722.0
594110.2
Blue50
129417.1
9487.2
177822.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3753020801001201401605950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.01.6
23.124.7
Auto6.4
Teleop8.8
End6.8
blue by 0.7
1778
#16
22.70.1
19.018.9
Auto4.9
Teleop14.2
End3.7
Second
6390
#14
13.61.6
9.611.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.5
End4.6
blue by 3.6
1294
#19
17.10.1
18.218.0
Auto3.8
Teleop10.0
End3.4
Third
5941
#15
10.21.6
2.74.3
Auto3.3
Teleop3.9
End2.9
red by 3.0
948
#25
7.20.1
10.810.6
Auto2.7
Teleop-0.3
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed41%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsEarned37%Hangar oddsEarned