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Red25
74619.4
639013.6
99926.9
Blue80
451220.1
255722.0
491139.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381000501502580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6390
#14
13.60.9
11.911.0
Auto4.4
Teleop4.5
End4.6
blue by 25.8
39.40.4
41.941.6
Auto7.8
Teleop22.1
End9.5
Second
7461
#22
9.40.9
17.316.4
Auto4.4
Teleop3.9
End1.1
blue by 12.6
22.00.4
24.824.4
Auto6.4
Teleop8.8
End6.8
Third
9992
#18
6.91.4
4.63.2
Auto1.2
Teleop2.8
End2.8
blue by 13.3
20.10.4
18.718.3
Auto4.0
Teleop13.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed89%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed79%Hangar oddsEarned