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Red26
635016.7
189917.4
59376.4
Blue44
594110.2
74619.4
299025.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494620304060702644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1899
#12
17.41.2
18.317.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.3
End4.1
blue by 8.5
25.90.6
26.025.4
Auto8.3
Teleop8.3
End9.4
Second
6350
#11
16.71.2
18.016.8
Auto3.8
Teleop3.7
End9.2
red by 6.5
5941
#15
10.20.6
9.08.4
Auto3.3
Teleop3.9
End2.9
Third
5937
#13
6.41.2
7.56.3
Auto3.2
Teleop2.7
End0.4
blue by 3.0
7461
#22
9.40.6
9.99.4
Auto4.4
Teleop3.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsMissed