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Red53
304913.5
298015.0
418021.1
Blue58
446913.3
491139.8
378613.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3859020801005358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.5
14.515.0
Auto6.8
Teleop8.4
End6.0
blue by 18.7
39.80.4
28.929.3
Auto11.9
Teleop19.2
End8.7
Second
2980
#15
15.00.5
14.214.7
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.7
red by 1.5
3786
#16
13.50.6
8.99.5
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Third
3049
#25
13.50.8
9.510.2
Auto6.7
Teleop5.0
End1.8
red by 0.2
4469
#12
13.30.6
14.615.2
Auto4.1
Teleop7.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsEarned27%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed45%Hangar oddsMissed