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Red31
94811.0
241215.9
131822.3
Blue46
48822.8
378613.5
491516.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4242203050603146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
#10
22.30.9
13.012.1
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End6.1
blue by 0.6
488
#3
22.80.3
20.721.0
Auto4.8
Teleop6.0
End12.0
Second
2412
#21
15.90.5
12.111.5
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End4.3
blue by 0.9
4915
#20
16.80.3
9.09.3
Auto5.2
Teleop10.9
End0.7
Third
948
#31
11.00.9
13.813.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End1.1
blue by 2.5
3786
#16
13.50.3
9.59.8
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed