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Red66
451220.9
321827.8
457910.6
Blue33
468211.1
417313.0
368112.9
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463410203040506070806633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.82.3
14.717.0
Auto6.5
Teleop9.3
End12.0
red by 14.9
4173
#23
13.00.0
13.413.4
Auto4.3
Teleop4.5
End4.2
Second
20.91.4
18.019.4
Auto5.0
Teleop11.4
End4.4
red by 7.9
3681
#19
12.90.0
10.910.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End4.6
Third
4579
#26
10.62.3
8.811.1
Auto2.2
Teleop6.1
End2.4
blue by 0.5
4682
#22
11.10.0
9.29.1
Auto4.5
Teleop3.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsEarned17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed