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Red18
129414.8
29295.6
9496.6
Blue33
378613.5
298015.0
76279.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303602060801833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1294
#17
14.81.2
12.211.0
Auto4.1
Teleop6.0
End4.7
blue by 0.2
2980
#15
15.00.3
13.713.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Second
949
#28
6.61.2
8.06.8
Auto3.6
Teleop1.3
End1.7
blue by 6.9
3786
#16
13.50.5
9.89.3
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Third
2929
#30
5.61.2
8.87.5
Auto3.0
Teleop2.3
End0.3
blue by 4.1
7627
#24
9.60.3
9.79.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed36%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed