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Red53
491139.8
558812.4
420512.2
Blue39
298015.0
292816.9
241215.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423310203050605339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.81.0
24.725.7
Auto11.9
Teleop19.2
End8.7
red by 22.9
2928
#13
16.90.5
8.99.3
Auto3.5
Teleop5.4
End8.0
Second
5588
#14
12.41.0
6.77.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.7
End3.3
blue by 3.5
2412
#21
15.90.4
11.912.4
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End4.3
Third
4205
#11
12.21.0
6.47.5
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End5.2
blue by 2.8
2980
#15
15.00.5
11.512.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsEarned25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed