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Red49
29295.6
304913.5
491139.8
Blue69
420512.2
418021.1
241215.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584220801004969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.80.2
34.434.2
Auto11.9
Teleop19.2
End8.7
red by 18.7
21.11.6
17.419.0
Auto6.8
Teleop8.4
End6.0
Second
3049
#25
13.50.4
12.211.8
Auto6.7
Teleop5.0
End1.8
blue by 2.4
2412
#21
15.91.6
13.114.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End4.3
Third
2929
#30
5.60.4
6.15.7
Auto3.0
Teleop2.3
End0.3
blue by 6.6
4205
#11
12.21.6
10.712.3
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
36%Cargo oddsEarned40%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsEarned