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Red33
368112.9
56837.6
298015.0
Blue48
198319.9
129414.8
468211.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444020305060703348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2980
#15
15.00.5
14.814.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 4.9
1983
#18
19.91.0
17.218.2
Auto6.3
Teleop9.9
End3.6
Second
3681
#19
12.90.5
13.613.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End4.6
blue by 1.8
1294
#17
14.81.1
11.712.8
Auto4.1
Teleop6.0
End4.7
Third
5683
#27
7.60.7
12.411.7
Auto4.5
Teleop3.3
End-0.3
blue by 3.5
4682
#22
11.10.6
9.510.2
Auto4.5
Teleop3.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
40%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsMissed