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Red42
430910.3
48822.8
417313.0
Blue32
378613.5
292816.9
420512.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51382060804232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#3
22.80.4
20.319.9
Auto4.8
Teleop6.0
End12.0
red by 5.9
2928
#13
16.90.3
13.713.3
Auto3.5
Teleop5.4
End8.0
Second
4173
#23
13.00.3
13.413.2
Auto4.3
Teleop4.5
End4.2
blue by 0.5
3786
#16
13.50.5
11.210.7
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Third
4309
#29
10.30.3
12.412.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End2.1
blue by 1.9
4205
#11
12.20.3
12.312.0
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsEarned47%Hangar oddsMissed