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Red51
189924.0
177820.4
298015.0
Blue17
56837.6
430910.3
451220.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68422060801001205117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.6
25.124.5
Auto7.2
Teleop12.6
End4.2
red by 3.2
20.91.7
21.019.3
Auto5.0
Teleop11.4
End4.4
Second
20.40.6
19.518.9
Auto3.6
Teleop14.1
End2.7
red by 10.1
4309
#29
10.31.7
12.010.3
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End2.1
Third
2980
#15
15.00.6
16.015.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.7
red by 7.4
5683
#27
7.61.9
9.57.6
Auto4.5
Teleop3.3
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
76%Cargo oddsEarned21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsMissed