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Red109
582730.5
491139.8
129414.8
Blue64
177820.4
451220.9
368112.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions974902040608012014016010964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.80.5
39.640.1
Auto11.9
Teleop19.2
End8.7
red by 18.9
20.90.2
20.120.3
Auto5.0
Teleop11.4
End4.4
Second
30.50.5
30.330.8
Auto11.0
Teleop14.8
End4.8
red by 10.1
20.40.2
19.619.8
Auto3.6
Teleop14.1
End2.7
Third
1294
#17
14.80.6
14.615.1
Auto4.1
Teleop6.0
End4.7
red by 1.8
3681
#19
12.90.2
12.212.3
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End4.6