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Red103
408933.6
291046.5
430911.5
Blue48
293023.0
746125.7
59416.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105522040608012014016010348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.50.0
46.546.5
Auto14.8
Teleop23.8
End7.9
red by 20.8
25.70.2
25.825.7
Auto7.9
Teleop14.1
End3.7
Second
33.60.0
33.633.6
Auto9.7
Teleop17.4
End6.5
red by 10.6
23.00.2
23.123.0
Auto2.4
Teleop10.3
End10.2
Third
4309
#22
11.50.0
11.511.5
Auto2.9
Teleop5.9
End2.7
red by 5.4
5941
#27
6.10.2
6.36.1
Auto2.7
Teleop2.2
End1.3