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Red50
49218.6
307014.3
635010.7
Blue45
582713.1
189915.9
55886.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46350102030406070805045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#21
18.60.1
18.118.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.7
End3.4
red by 2.7
15.90.2
15.415.6
Auto6.1
Teleop6.3
End3.5
Second
3070
#16
14.30.1
13.713.8
Auto5.3
Teleop6.1
End2.9
red by 1.2
13.10.2
12.612.8
Auto3.6
Teleop7.8
End1.8
Third
6350
#15
10.70.1
10.210.3
Auto2.3
Teleop3.9
End4.5
red by 4.0
5588
#29
6.70.2
6.26.4
Auto1.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9