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Red54
49218.6
307014.3
635010.7
Blue53
582713.1
189915.9
55886.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47360102030406070805453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#21
18.60.2
18.218.4
Auto5.5
Teleop9.7
End3.4
red by 2.7
15.90.3
15.615.9
Auto6.1
Teleop6.3
End3.5
Second
3070
#16
14.30.2
13.814.0
Auto5.3
Teleop6.1
End2.9
red by 1.2
13.10.3
12.813.1
Auto3.6
Teleop7.8
End1.8
Third
6350
#15
10.70.2
10.310.4
Auto2.3
Teleop3.9
End4.5
red by 4.0
5588
#29
6.70.3
6.46.7
Auto1.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9