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Red71
491124.7
252221.7
824810.6
Blue50
413112.3
298011.5
366318.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions654102060801007150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.3
25.025.3
Auto8.2
Teleop8.0
End8.5
red by 6.7
3663
#19
18.10.1
17.918.1
Auto5.0
Teleop11.3
End1.8
Second
21.70.3
22.022.3
Auto8.7
Teleop9.3
End3.7
red by 9.4
4131
#25
12.30.1
12.212.3
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End0.2
Third
8248
#14
10.60.3
10.811.1
Auto3.0
Teleop3.5
End4.1
blue by 0.9
2980
#10
11.50.1
11.311.5
Auto1.6
Teleop7.5
End2.3