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Red44
80513.7
177815.8
298011.5
Blue10
32195.7
42056.4
29034.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3128010204050604410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1778
#13
15.81.3
10.611.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.9
End2.3
red by 9.3
4205
#32
6.42.3
9.87.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.0
End1.8
Second
2980
#10
11.51.3
9.610.9
Auto1.6
Teleop7.5
End2.3
red by 5.8
3219
#30
5.72.3
9.26.9
Auto3.4
Teleop2.8
End-0.5
Third
8051
#18
3.71.1
8.39.4
Auto1.3
Teleop1.3
End1.1
blue by 0.8
2903
#23
4.52.3
7.45.2
Auto2.7
Teleop1.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed