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Red77
55886.7
298011.5
408933.6
Blue62
29288.9
80513.7
291046.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3955020801001207762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.63.3
22.525.8
Auto9.7
Teleop17.4
End6.5
blue by 12.9
46.50.9
34.535.4
Auto14.8
Teleop23.8
End7.9
Second
2980
#10
11.53.3
10.714.1
Auto1.6
Teleop7.5
End2.3
red by 2.6
2928
#33
8.90.9
7.18.0
Auto3.0
Teleop1.7
End4.2
Third
5588
#29
6.73.3
5.79.1
Auto1.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9
red by 3.0
8051
#18
3.70.9
8.59.4
Auto1.3
Teleop1.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsEarned35%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsMissed